Thursday, April 03, 2008

Soros on swaps...........

George Soros is a smart guy and my library contains the majority of his writings. Although we differ dramatically in political leanings and net worth (by billions) I have great respect for his market intelligence. Although his firm was credited with making a billion dollars in one day on a bet against the English pound, the trade was profitable only because of the complex currency play with the German mark. That trade was a trade with massive leverage, not a chance foray into the realm of high finance for the average trader.

I agree totally with his current analysis of the counter-party risk in derivative swaps.

There are some huge firms that are behind the eight ball in their clearing operations that will be hit so hard Congress won't have a clue where to start when it unwinds.

Just wait and watch. It's about as unregulated as Panama City Beach on Spring Break.

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