Cowboy UP!!!

If nothing else, Trump is a wrecking ball to the War Party!  

 

This is what's wrong today.  Everything is run top-down.  The people have no say.  Banks run the economy.  Political parties run the government.  Voting is totally symbolic.

 

Ignorance........

The level of ignorance as to the state of the economy is almost 95%, probably higher.

I understand people focus on their slice of jobs, their businesses, their family and their community and not the larger picture but when I say 'the economy is shit and the stock market is a crime scene' they look at me with utter bemusement. 

I've just stopped talking about it.  

Negative interest rates,  the war on cash, QE,  Fed banker love, it doesn't seem to end.

And with an avowed Socialist running for President and another candidate under investigation by the FBI for mishandling information it makes a professional wrestling match look intellectual. 

The chaos is coming .......   the following link should wake you up quickly if you have been in a Kardashian, social media, NFL, iTurd or Oscar's fog............

click and listen to the greed and pain.......

Chaos, pain & greed

If not for fox fur................

Fur paid for my college education.  Life is about prices and the price you want to pay for what you want.  It was fur that enabled me to drive out of Minnesota in January of 1979 on a day where the wind chill was 30 below zero and head for San Diego.  I didn't know anyone in San Diego other than my soon-to-be roommate, Geno Collora.

I never looked back.  

Prime One Twelve in South Beach........

One of the finer eateries in America maybe, but then maybe not.

$55 for each crab leg?

GMAFB...........

Greatest BS from the Golfer-in-Chief

Obama is a man of empty pledges and unkept promises. Yet mainstream media sympathizers or accomplices, with their “nothing to report here” treatment of Obama, have largely let him get away with a stream of lies and broken promises by diverting attention to other events, or whitewashing them.

Let’s take a stroll down Obama’s liar lane and see what we find:

– “We will close the detention camp in Guantanamo Bay.” Still open.

– “If we have not gotten our troops out [of Iraq] by the time I am president, it is the first thing I will do.” Didn’t happen.

– “Today I’m pledging to cut the deficit in half by the end of my first term in office.” Instead, the national debt increased $5 trillion on his watch.

– “As soon as we’re out of this recession, we’ve got to get serious about starting to live within our means.” Huh?

– “We agree on reforms that will reduce the costs of health care. Families will save on their premiums.”

– “We’ve got shovel-ready projects all across the country.” Later, Obama admitted his own lie, saying, “There’s no such thing as shovel-ready projects.”

– “We reject the use of national security … to spy on citizens who are not suspected of a crime.”

– We “will ensure that federal contracts over $25,000 are competitively bid.”

– We “will eliminate all income taxation of seniors making less than $50,000 per year

– We “will eliminate all income taxation of seniors making less than $50,000 per year.”

– “We are going to work with you to lower your [health care] premiums by $2,500,” and we’ll “do it by the end of my first term as president.”

– “I don’t take a dime of their [lobbyists’] money, and when I am president, they won’t find a job in my White House.” In fact, Obama granted waivers at will, and more than a dozen lobbyists got jobs in the Obama administration.

– “I pledge to preserve, protect and defend the Constitution.” But Obama has ignored the constitutional amendment granting powers not enumerated in the Constitution to the states.

– “If you’ve got a business — you didn’t build that. Somebody else made that happen.”

– “The sequester is not something that I’ve proposed. It is something that Congress has proposed.” The truth is that the White House proposed an “automatic sequester” on July 12, 2011.

– “I didn’t set a red line [in Syria].” And yet, at a prior news conference, using unscripted language in a statement, he said, “a red line for us is we start seeing a whole bunch of chemical weapons moving around.”

– “It’s here that companies like Solyndra are leading the way toward a brighter and more prosperous future.” After Obama’s administration gave the company $535 million, Solyndra and its solar panels went belly up.

– To Israel, “We have not only made sure that they [Iran] have to stop adding additional centrifuges, we’ve also said that they’ve got to roll back their 20 percent advanced enrichment … down to zero.” In fact, the deal allows Iran uranium enrichment of 5 percent.

– “Eighty percent of Americans support including higher taxes as part of the [debt ceiling] deal.” However, that same week, a poll by Rasmussen showed only 34 percent supported a tax hike as part of the deal.

– In 2006: “America has a debt problem and a failure of leadership. Americans deserve better. I, therefore, intend to oppose the effort to increase America’s debt limit.” But as president, Obama has led the charge each year to increase America’s debt.

– And, let’s not forget the biggest lie of all: “If you like your health care plan, you’ll be able to keep your health care plan, period. No one will take it away, no matter what. … You can keep your family doctor.”

Tim Cook, Apple

My Dad, the late Douglas Parisian, LEO, Dept of Interior, Bureau of Indian Affairs if he were alive.

"Mr. Cook, you have exactly one week to open that terrorists phone"

Straight talk................

Trump said that he was thanking the Pope because he was going to model the Mexican border wall after the Vatican wall.

What a beauty from Nassim Talib...........

"The opposite of success is not failure.  It's name-dropping."

Crack kills..............

Watch your step in big country!

Baby I was born to run...............

Pigs were introduced to barrier islands off the coast of Georgia a long time ago.

The devastation these animals have brought to native wildlife is hard to describe unless you actually hop in a boat and visit these islands.  Trapping year around doesn't control them.  

I have shot more wild pigs than I can remember.  Caught this one in the open and punched him on the dead run.   Nothing wrong with wild bacon!!!  

Obama ..........

Just listened to President Narcissist talk shit about closing the Gitmo Detention Facility in Cuba.

He said American taxpayers foot the bill to the tune of $450,000,000 in 2015 alone to keep less than 100 prisoners behind bars.

Where the hell is Sheriff Joe Arpaio when you need him?   If Donald Trump put him in charge for $25,000,000 a year those terrorists would be wearing pink in the desert.

When will the American taxpayer have enough?  They won't.

They are too busy with the Kardashians, social media and spending entitlement money.


  

Street fight in the badlands............

Ever been out hunting in rough country and get tired?   I have.  Alot. So you probably do what I do right?   I take a nap.  I find a nice place to lay down and relax. Maybe eat a protein bar, take in some water, close my eyes and kick it back.   So I am out in the middle of the West, about 5 miles from the truck, feeling like the first person to meander around these gumbo knobs since the dinosaurs and I take a nap.  I wake up from my nap.  I look around.  I see a bunch of deer with a couple of bucks in the bunch about 180 yards away feeding.  I glass them and like the look of this guy.  I ease my rifle up and shoot this buck.  The deer drops like they usually do when I shoot.  It is what I intend anyway. So I haven't moved, the other deer run off over the ridge and there I lay.   Mission accomplished right?   So in a few seconds here comes another buck back over the ridge at full tilt.  The buck is running at this buck that is laying dead.   The live buck proceeds to gore this guy like you just can't believe.  There is deer hair flying everywhere!  That buck was laying the wood to his dead buddy, getting "even" with him for not letting him get close to that doe group.  What a sight it was!!!  

Ponder 2008.........

In August of 2008, Goldmanite and Treasury Secretary, Henry Paulson told the world reassuringly that:

"Our economy has got very strong long-term fundamentals. And you know, your policy-makers and regulators here - we're very vigilant."

 http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-09-18/why-obama-allowed-bailouts-without-indictments

Bern baby burn..........

We live in the golden age of political theater.  The government consists of politicians.  Politicians lie for a living.  How do you change a system in which political, legal and regulatory capture has been achieved and the electorate either doesn't care or doesn't give a shit?  I guess if we could just outlaw math we could solve all of our problems.

Democratic Debate Last Night.......

Watching the Democratic "debate" aka spendathon last night was rather disgusting.

Economics to Bernie Sanders is like monogamy to Bill Clinton.   He just can't understand it.

Back in the day..........

It wasn't a mature deer.  It wasn't a big buck.  It was what I wanted to shoot after a lot of shoe leather, sweat equity and a glorious few days in God's last great place .  I love covering that type of ground on foot.   My pal, Ron Branch was at my side watching it all happen. This little guy busted out of some sage at full tilt and went down faster than Bill Clinton headed after an intern in a blue dress.

Weed Creek Country, eastern Montana, circa 2003

Janet Yellen and the Fed..........

I don't know who is worse, Janet  Yellen or the congress critters who are asking her some of the dumbest questions in financial history.

It is astounding that in 2016, in the greatest  country the earth has ever known, that the level of stupidity and lies being told by both sides of the inquiry are of such magnitude.

Liberal Democrats Remember this.............

Don't forget.   It's a grand time for you to remember that Obama told Putin that after his reelection he would have more flexibility on things.  The charade that is called leadership in Washington D.C. is insanity.

Listening to  Bernie Sanders spout his socialist agenda is great entertainment.  Bernie Sanders saying anything correct about the laws of supply and demand in the art of economics  is impossible.  Won't happen.  Ever.

The Sanders Free Shit Army Train has left the station.

Res ipsa loquiter..............

Minnesota in the 1970's

The older I get the more I miss the good old days.   Still the "cleanest" job I have ever had.  

Truthful Humor..........

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are in a bar. 

Donald leans over, and with a smile on his face, says, “the media are really tearing you apart for that Scandal”.

Hillary: "You mean about my lying about Benghazi?"
Trump: "No, the other one."

Hillary: "You mean the massive voter fraud?"
Trump: "No, the other one."

Hillary: "You mean the military not getting their votes counted?"
Trump: "No, the other one."

Hillary: "Using my secret private server with classified material to Hide my Activities?"
Trump: "No, the other one."

Hillary: "The NSA monitoring our phone calls, emails and everything Else?"
Trump: "No, the other one."

Hillary: "Using the Clinton Foundation as a cover for tax evasion, Hiring Cronies, And taking bribes from foreign countries?
Trump: "No, the other one."

Hillary: "You mean the drones being operated in our own country without
The Benefit of the law?"
Trump: "No, the other one."

Hillary: "Giving 123 Technologies $300 Million, and right afterward it
Declared Bankruptcy and was sold to the Chinese?"
Trump: "No, the other one."

Hillary: "You mean arming the Muslim Brotherhood and hiring them

in the White House?"
Trump: "No, the other one."

Hillary: "Whitewater, Watergate committee, Vince Foster, commodity Deals?"
Trump: "No the other one:"

Hillary: "The IRS targeting conservatives?"
Trump: "No the other one:"

Hillary: "Turning Libya into chaos?"
Trump: "No the other one:"

Hillary: "Trashing Mubarak, one of our few Muslim friends?"
Trump: "No the other one:"

Hillary: "Turning our backs on Israel?"
Trump: "No the other one:"

Hillary: "The joke Iran Nuke deal? "
Trump: "No the other one:"

Hillary: "Leaving Iraq in chaos? "
Trump: "No, the other one."

Hillary: "The DOJ spying on the press?"
Trump: "No, the other one."

Hillary: "You mean HHS Secretary Sibelius shaking down health

insurance Executives?"
Trump: "No, the other one."

Hillary: "Giving our cronies in SOLYNDRA $500 MILLION DOLLARS

and 3 months later they declared bankruptcy and then the Chinese bought it?"
Trump: "No, the other one."

Hillary: "The State Department interfering with an Inspector General

Investigation on departmental sexual misconduct?"
Trump: "No, the other one."

Hillary: "Me, The IRS, Clapper and Holder all lying to Congress?"
Trump: "No, the other one."

Hillary: "Threats to all of Bill's former mistresses to keep them quiet"
Trump: "No, the other one."

Hillary: "I give up! ... Oh wait, I think I've got it! When I stole the White

House furniture, silverware and china when Bill left office?"
Trump: "THAT'S IT! I almost forgot about that one".

From my desk, 2.8.2016

You don't need analysts in a bull market and you don't want them in a bear market.  It is time to revisit some common sense for all of you in the fly-over states who will have brokers calling with the sell-this, buy-that meme as their commission runs dry up in this bear market.

Having been through a fair amount of volatility in my trading career I can only say for certain there is some massive spikes of volatility ahead.  I started in this business on April 1, 1982, what a joke eh?

There is going to be alot of pain with your money.  It is coming just as sure as the lies and bullshit campaign promises of Republicans and Democrats.

Let me share some advice in a speech that I gave long ago and not too long ago.  It never seems to go out of style.

I was born in 1953.  That year the price of a 1^st class postage stamp was 3 cents.  Maybe I am old-fashioned, maybe I have been around too long, maybe I‘ve made too much money sitting in stocks over many years.  You see, I’m one of those guys what believes stocks solve long-term problems.  You should too.  If you are like many investors maybe you turned off TV and stopped watching financial news as the market corrected  back in 2000, 2001 and 2002 from the excesses of the 1990’s.  I know the drivel on CNBC from the buy-this, sell-that crowd drowns out basic, common sense.  To me, and probably to you, the hallmarks of a successful retirement are dignity and independence, the ability to go hunting where and when you want and the ability to meet the basic needs of life that continue to only go one way in price.   Up.

Today, the average American male lives to be 77, the average female lives to 81.  I know the key to financial independence, perhaps over decades of retirement is an income you can’t outlive, an income that is rising even as your cost of living continues to go up. 

Personally, I think the biggest financial risk to all of us besides losing one’s money, is outliving it, which means owning the stock market is more critical today than ever before.  Remember the cost of living has tripled over the last 30 years, yet few triple their income in retirement?  Risk is the extinction of purchasing power. Safety is increasing your purchasing power.  Last week I paid 49 cents for a postage stamp.  I will bet my Lowa boots the price of stamps is only going one way.  Care to guess which way the price of stamps will go?

The stock market is simply a facility for the exchange of shares.  Just like the markets for fur, guns, traps or fish it is driven by supply and demand.  My friends on the NYSE floor understand fear and greed better than most but they can’t tell the difference between preferred stock and livestock, they only care about payouts on commissions generated with your money, not theirs.  When I last checked fear and greed hadn’t changed for around 10,000 years.  Today, capitalism is the organizing principle for most of the human activity on the globe, for no one can stop capitalism.  Here are 10 reasons why the United States stock market is going to continue up much like it has during your entire lifetime, (1) the U.S. has the greatest number of entrepreneurial managed companies in the world, bar none. (2) we have the leading military in the world (3) we have the leading high technology in the world in both hardware and software (4) we have the leading medical technology in the world (5)we have the leading political system in the world (6) we have 25 times more Nobel prize winners that any other country in the world (7) we create more jobs than Japan and Europe combined (8) we have 11,000 companies that trade publicly under some of the better accounting rules anywhere (9) you as an American have the freedom to accumulate wealth and extract out of life what it is you want and (10) the stock market doesn’t care who you are, what color you are, where you went to school, and, (because I grew up in the poorest county in America on the Pine Ridge Indian Reservation), it doesn’t care where you came from.

Things are great and they are going to get better.  I feel the 21^st Century started in 1989 when the Berlin Wall came down.  Change is certain.  I am one of those guys that believe you set your goals in life ahead of time.  Mine includes being a free person; freedom is what this country is all about.  The opportunities for success are greater now than ever before.  For the first time in the history of the world all the people who are poor know they are poor.  Success has nothing to do with money and everything to do with how you feel about yourself.  Your net worth is your ability to function.  When I was a cadet at the United States Military Academy at West Point postage stamps cost 8 cents and the Dow crossed 1,000 for the first time.  That same year the microprocessor was invented.  Today, 85% of the scientists who have ever lived are still working!  When I took my degree in Economics the price of a stamp was 13 cents.  Still think you don’t need exposure to the stock market?

  

The market is a funny place.  It is the only business in the world when things are on sale, people don’t want to buy.  The greatest enemy of long term investment success is not ignorance, it is fear.  You see, fear leads to panic and panic breeds the inability to distinguish between temporary declines and permanent losses.  When people panic they don’t discriminate.  Since all market declines have been temporary and all advances permanent, we know the key to investment success is not found in intellectual babble like beta’s, standard deviations or chaos theory.  It’s time in the market.  Put time on your side.  The single greatest thing you have going for you is time because no one can successfully forecast interest rates over the long term and no one can forecast short to intermediate term stock market moves.  Long term the market always goes up, that is inevitable.  But, why do investors lose in the market and why has the average mutual fund investor only averaged a small return in his mutual fund holdings?

I don’t mean to be critical, but most people invest through the rear-view mirror.  They buy mutual funds after they have gone up substantially.  They have bought into what I call the Sesame Street School of investing.  They buy into the hottest fund, in the hottest sector, in the hottest country, from the hottest brokerage firm and the one that has the most “stars” next to it in Money magazine.  Then what happens?  You know the drill.  They turn cold.  In fairly short order, a perfectly normal market correction comes along.  The cycle comes to an end.  Investing like that is like enlisting in the Taliban on September 12^th,  2001.  Yes, you are joining the proudest fighting force in the world that day.  Yes, your outfit just pulled off one of the greatest disasters of all time.  But you know what?  You are toast.  Your obituary is written.  It is all downhill. I have no wish to drive this message into the ground like a ICBM but I want to make one point very clear.  Pay attention.  At the end of an investor’s life, less than 5% of his total lifetime return will from what his investments did versus other investments.  The other 95% will come from how the investor behaved.

You see, I have a firm belief that there is absolutely no relationship between investment performance and investor performance.  Stock market success is a function of two things.  One, recognition that the markets will go down and sometimes go down a lot, and two, prepare to regard those declines as either non-events or buying opportunities and never as an occasion to sell.  With all certainty, I know that the most boring and mediocre stock fund in your portfolio, the one you hold onto during a vicious bear market is infinitely better than the world-class stock fund that you sell out of at the bottom of a temporary decline.  The secret to making big money in stocks is to not get scared out of them.  Americans, God bless them, are totally unable to distinguish between fluctuation and loss. The bottom line is this, and if you don’t believe me you have the right to be wrong, but don’t forget it, the higher your exposure to stocks as a percentage of your assets the better your overall return, over the long term.  In the long run, no one controls our investment fate.  We control it.  Bailing out of markets is like quitting a marathon because you get tired.     

Super Bowl Ads

The 2016 edition of Super Bowl Advertising was rather lame.

Who on earth, as a hipster CEO can justify spending so much money, usually OPM, (other peoples money for those of you in Mandaree) for such bullshit ads to showcase whatever type of website or product viewers are supposed to remember?

I think it says something about society.  

I think what it says is not good.

Jordan Parisian, UGA Bass Team at Lake Martin, Alabama

Jordan Parisian and Collin Chandler getting it done for the University of Georgia!

“We always strive to select great venues for our college anglers,” said Hank Weldon, B.A.S.S. College Series tournament manager. “We look for venues and fisheries that can handle the growing field size, as well as provide great fishing and dramatic competition.”

The season begins in February as the Carhartt Bassmaster College Series heads to Lake Martin out of Alexander City, Ala., for the Southern Regional, Feb. 4-6. The 41,150-acre man-made lake hosted the 2002 Bassmaster Southern Open. The local host for the event is Alexander City.

Majestic feathers...............

This picture was taken in the early 70's.  A super picture on Super Bowl Sunday!

These birds were wintering on the Missouri River below Ft. Randall Dam in South Dakota.

Meoowwwwwww.............

Way back in the 80's on the Crow Reservation when Dad worked there.  Two came sneaking in to the call.   Only one left, took his nose off!

A big tom in the south..............

This tom bobcat tipped the scales right at 35 pounds.   A true south Georgia beauty!   My Dad took the picture and got a bit close, so close he almost got a claw.  He didn't think a cat could move that quick.  Pure lightning! 

ICBM's only run on solid rocket fuel, as do stocks............

My opinion on the market is primarily a function of the hundreds of individual charts I look at throughout the day.  When I see a large number of stocks moving on volume increases I take note.  Volume is key to my decision making.  I need institutional demand on my side. When the big players are piling in it gives me greater confidence that a meaningful price move will produce some upside momentum.  I think of volume as the rocket fuel that drives a stock.

It doesn't matter how good a stock is if it doesn't have the rocket fuel.  Volume shows ignition.   Spring follows winter.  Keep your powder dry. 

It's a nasty environment out there.  Thank you Bernanke, Geitner, Yellen, the Fed, Congress, etc............ We are in a bear market.   That said, the risk of a massive spike upward is possible before we resume the inevitable downside due to central bank printing.  

High Frequency Trading

I have to laugh at the nonsense in the lame stream media by discount brokerage firms and Wall Streeters about HFT.

HFT is front running an order.  Traders have ideas about buying and selling.  Imagine, actual ideas.

HFT's don't have a clue or an idea until they "see" your order.

Legalized theft!  It's not a market, it's a racket.  

Deep Snow

Eagles Nest Wilderness Area.   2006.

$19,000,000,000,000.00

The United States is now 19 trillion in total debt. It took over 75,000 days to rack up the first trillion dollars in debt.

It took them just 427 days of printing to pile on this last trillion dollars.

Think about that timeline for a minute.

If that does not make people sick to their stomach, what does?

NM Bull............

Nine bulls popped out of the timber and this guy was the biggest.  New Mexico.

Ted Cruz in America.............

Just a quick reminder… Ron Paul won the 2012 Iowa Caucuses, but…

Initial results reported that Mitt Romney beat out Rick Santorum by just 8 votes, but when the final results came out two weeks later Rick Santorum secured the victory over Romney by a margin of 34 votes with Ron Paul in a strong 3rd. Results were certified by the Caucus but not by the Republican party who declared it a split decision due to missing reports from 8 precincts, but who later certified the caucus as a win for Santorum. The caucus winner changed yet again when the Iowa delegate totals were finally determined giving Ron Paul the win along with several other states that same weekend.

America is the real loser here.  When a quarter of the state can vote for one of the most evil women on the entire planet, a candidate who is most likely to go to prison.   

No question that Trump was ego'd in Iowa last night.  He didn't debate, the farmers turned on him faster than Bill Clinton  headed after an intern. 

 

Facts boys and girls, just the facts.........

Two months ago, when it was calculated that the US would need a new debt ceiling of $19.6 trillion to last until after Obama's tenure, it may have been overoptimistic: since the hard limit of $18.15 trillion which was raised at the end of October, the US appears to be growing its debt at a far faster pace than had originally been expected, and according to the latest public debt data, as of the last day of January, total US debt just hit 19,012,827,698,417.93.

Hunter Parisian

There was nothing wrong with the camera.  It was a very foggy morning in North Dakota.   That is one beautiful drake bufflehead and it looks darn nice on the fireplace mantle.  Tom Rasmussen was driving the Silverado that morning.  Nice work Tommy!

Hillary Rodham Clinton

This attorney is beyond shameless.   From the cattle trading lies, the Rose Law Firm billing records,  Vince Foster,  Travelgate, it just doesn't end with these Arkansas career politicians.

Why the average Democrat can't see right from wrong is beyond me.  I know the average Native American is left-wing Democrat, I know but a handful of conservative Natives follow in the footsteps of Robert Yellow Tail!

Here is a good piece to ponder if you give a shit.  The comments beyond the article are priceless.  Proud to be a cum laude graduate of the University of Zero Hedge!

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-02-01/hillary-im-asking-people-hold-me-accountable

For any further humor, please check out these brain dead Democrats on YOUTUBE!  This folks is America!!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jPob5-_EAmc